PolyBot

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Traders

octoppp

0xe35e1cc45b84e1b11a67a741e9ac5b24bea246b7

Realised P&L
$-7.13
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$986.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? · No0.9750.992$203.31+$3.31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.9400.961$102.18+$2.18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? · No0.9570.976$101.98+$1.98
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8800.895$101.70+$1.70
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · No0.9780.989$101.16+$1.16
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · No0.9590.965$100.62+$0.62
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · No0.9410.946$100.56+$0.56
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5100.585$57.35+$7.35
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8880.938$52.77+$2.77
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.8500.845$24.85$0.15
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? · No0.8940.865$13.55$0.45
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$7.86$2.14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$6.50$0.50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$4.58$0.42
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.125$4.17$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:58Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-16 15:17NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.25$10.87
09-15 12:06NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.149999997$5.00
09-15 11:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$9.60
09-14 06:35Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.8936170186$14.00
09-11 08:46Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.8882893666$50.00
09-08 17:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-08 17:06NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-08 17:05NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.09$9.00
09-08 17:05NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.22$9.56
09-08 17:05NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
09-08 17:04NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
09-08 17:04NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
09-08 10:12Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8799999972$100.00
09-07 17:51Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.01$1.00