octoppp
0xe35e1cc45b84e1b11a67a741e9ac5b24bea246b7
- Realised P&L
- $-7.13
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $986.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.75at 0.733Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.43at 0.230NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.40at 0.250Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
- +$-8.44at 0.451Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:17 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $10.87 |
| 09-15 12:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 11:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 09-14 06:35 | Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.8936170186 | $14.00 |
| 09-11 08:46 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.8882893666 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 17:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 17:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 17:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-08 17:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $9.56 |
| 09-08 17:05 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 17:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 17:04 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 10:12 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8799999972 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 17:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |