pmaker
0xe243070d11670abc32aac7125cb7abaf39a279f7
- Realised P&L
- $-891.51
- Volume
- $293.0k
- Markets traded
- 630
- Open portfolio
- $53.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded630
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.64at 0.502Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$16.37at 0.330Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$15.22at 0.016Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$12.61at 0.392Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$11.99at 0.013USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 12:52 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.05 |
| 05-16 12:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 06:07 | Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.05 |
| 05-16 02:48 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.0065238095 | $0.68 |
| 05-16 01:32 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.05 |
| 05-15 23:17 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.16 |
| 05-15 21:58 | Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.05 |
| 05-15 21:24 | Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.96 |
| 05-15 21:24 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.09 |
| 05-15 21:08 | Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.96 |
| 05-15 21:08 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.05 |
| 05-15 19:06 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.42 |
| 05-15 18:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.26 |
| 05-15 15:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.01 |
| 05-15 15:32 | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.05 |