PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Risky-MooLa

0xe1d2f456a0bc188cb67615395a3e9a153a8e0ecf

Realised P&L
$386.07
Volume
$2.18M
Markets traded
27,085
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded27,085
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8540.945$850.50+$82.00
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.4600.820$16.40+$7.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8530.972$14.57+$1.77
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9000.995$9.95+$0.95
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9630.994$9.94+$0.30
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9650.989$9.88+$0.23
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · No0.8500.964$9.63+$1.14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8000.955$9.55+$1.55
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1000.895$8.95+$7.95
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2500.055$5.50−$19.50
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0100.894$4.61+$4.56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.102$4.56+$3.76
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? · Yes0.0500.445$4.45+$3.95
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · Yes0.2000.044$4.34−$15.38
Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.0500.415$4.15+$3.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 13:28Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 6?BUY0.998$100.00
09-06 13:20Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 6?BUY0.999$9.99
09-06 11:18Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 6?BUY0.999$100.91
09-06 07:36Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?BUY0.998999991$100.00
09-06 07:36Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?BUY0.998999991$100.00
09-06 03:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 6?BUY0.999$100.91
09-05 20:52Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 5?BUY0.998999991$100.00
09-05 13:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 5?BUY0.998999991$100.00
09-04 23:28Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 5?BUY0.998999991$100.00
09-04 22:24Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 5?BUY0.998999991$100.00
09-04 22:24Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 5?BUY0.999$100.00
09-04 13:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 4?BUY0.999$100.00
09-04 11:24Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 4?BUY0.9845583442$100.00
09-03 21:02Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C or below on September 4?BUY0.999$0.46
09-03 19:42Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C or below on September 4?BUY0.999$8.21