PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

UsualSuspects

0xe097a66a04a3afd6de8929d19fcc41211402d811

Realised P&L
$42.84
Volume
$12.5k
Markets traded
277
Open portfolio
$680.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded277
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.7050.875$70.00+$13.60
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.5760.865$47.91+$15.99
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8220.957$44.57+$6.27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.8200.885$35.40+$2.60
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8060.971$33.71+$5.71
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8320.968$32.44+$4.54
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.7070.950$28.50+$7.30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.6900.969$28.07+$8.07
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.895$26.85+$1.65
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6400.765$22.95+$3.75
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6300.935$22.26+$7.26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8700.945$21.72+$1.72
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7200.978$19.56+$5.16
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8800.969$19.36+$1.77
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? · No0.7900.955$19.10+$3.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:27US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.83$8.30
10-01 07:26Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.75$11.25
10-01 01:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$8.90
10-01 01:10WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 1?BUY0.53$5.30
09-28 05:13US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.68$6.80
09-21 06:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$19.20
09-21 06:40Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.404$8.08
09-15 05:57Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?BUY0.207$3.10
09-14 04:44Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.952$9.52
09-14 04:42Will BP be acquired before 2027?SELL0.97$18.61
09-10 23:31Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.34$3.40
09-10 23:29Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?BUY0.66$6.60
09-09 18:51Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$8.80
09-09 06:41US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?BUY0.3$3.00
09-09 06:41US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?BUY0.61$6.10