PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skimavium

0xdfe6294e6567ea65b9be3d98d001fe5c6bdf92a3

Realised P&L
$-242.74
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
222
Open portfolio
$37.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded222
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.981$10.18+$0.18
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · No0.5800.920$3.17+$1.17
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.5600.735$2.62+$0.62
100kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.9570.971$2.03+$0.03
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.6000.985$1.64+$0.64
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.4800.655$1.36+$0.36
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.6800.880$1.29+$0.29
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.5300.680$1.28+$0.28
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · No0.7500.905$1.21+$0.21
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.8500.976$1.15+$0.15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7480.841$1.12+$0.12
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8300.915$1.10+$0.10
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · No0.8600.945$1.10+$0.10
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9330.983$1.05+$0.05
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6900.715$1.04+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.33999983$1.00
06-16 16:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
06-16 16:01Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7949994435$1.00
06-16 16:00Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.3089998776$1.00
06-16 16:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY0.045999957$1.00
05-07 12:28Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
04-07 22:12Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.6959999978$4.83
04-07 22:11Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?SELL0.0895839686$4.11
04-07 22:09Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.6951341379$31.42
04-06 09:14Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?BUY0.0439999593$1.00
04-05 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.5699998233$0.94
04-05 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.5$0.93
04-05 17:57Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.4699998778$0.92
04-05 17:57Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.6699999196$0.97
04-05 17:57US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.1399998824$1.00