PolyBot

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Traders

Palladin

0xdcd962e5da7c9506bba32ea99cfff18a3e9a35d4

Realised P&L
$-992.90
Volume
$60.2k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$72.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 22:35Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.003$2.34
08-11 22:34Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.01$1.08
08-11 22:32Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?BUY0.0899999582$1.85
08-11 22:27Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0140000001$2.15
08-11 22:24Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.0269999873$2.04
08-07 02:23Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.0176721311$1.08
08-07 02:21Will Venezuela become 51st state?BUY0.0306602538$3.85
08-07 02:20Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$5.82
05-23 19:11Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.005$5.00
05-23 19:08Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart?BUY0.08$1.00
05-23 19:08Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
04-25 22:07Kash Patel out by June 30?BUY0.72$2.00
04-25 22:07Kash Patel out by April 30?BUY0.2779999564$3.00
04-14 18:04Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-10 02:23Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.0861086246$2.22