Palladin
0xdcd962e5da7c9506bba32ea99cfff18a3e9a35d4
- Realised P&L
- $-984.17
- Volume
- $58.8k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $61.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.50at 0.070Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$75.33at 0.090Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?
- +$73.61at 0.285Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023?
- +$72.28at 0.412Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
- +$62.60at 0.240[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 19:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 19:08 | Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 19:08 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 22:07 | Kash Patel out by June 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 04-25 22:07 | Kash Patel out by April 30? | BUY | 0.2779999564 | $3.00 |
| 04-14 18:04 | Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 02:23 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0861086246 | $2.22 |
| 04-10 02:22 | Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 02:21 | Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0040332989 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 02:21 | Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 02:21 | Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0048123195 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 02:21 | Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 02:17 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.78 |
| 04-10 02:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 02:16 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.0209999909 | $2.22 |