BCH-flip
0xdc7217b3b07913ae9d835d43e22d98d222804dec
- Realised P&L
- $-29.97
- Volume
- $23.9k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $27.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.65at 0.016Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
- +$25.00at 0.080Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
- +$11.44at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$7.89at 0.123Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- +$7.59at 0.026Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:22 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.90 |
| 09-16 20:02 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 23:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-10 23:27 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-10 05:30 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.86 |
| 09-06 12:00 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 12:00 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 11:59 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,400? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 18:16 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-04 21:37 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.07 |
| 09-03 12:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999663 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 12:19 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 12:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 18:54 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.50 |