MailAJ-Long-Term
0xda4d2a955ebad25b3510d65ad0def9647849c8ee
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $3.01M
- Markets traded
- 2,610
- Open portfolio
- $70.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,610
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$476.02at 0.018Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?
- +$421.05at 0.011Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
- +$343.33at 0.010Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?
- +$305.37at 0.070Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 45–50 million views on Friday at noon?
- +$268.17at 0.016Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:34 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $7.20 |
| 10-10 17:34 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.18 |
| 10-10 17:34 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 17:33 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 10 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:59 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.61 |
| 10-10 01:59 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.90 |
| 10-10 01:58 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.35 |
| 10-10 01:58 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.08 |
| 10-10 01:56 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.68 |
| 06-27 14:55 | Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.38 |
| 06-27 14:55 | Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.54 |
| 06-27 14:53 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 14:53 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.1978666667 | $2.97 |
| 06-25 19:30 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.0793946797 | $9.00 |
| 06-25 19:27 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.4008804402 | $8.01 |