PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-13
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards
50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.074. up 0.019 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.001 to 0.241. 133 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0751919
0.0761635
0.078229264
0.079728992
0.0803501,342
0.0812001,542
0.0831001,642
0.0841001,742
0.0851001,842
0.088501,892
0.1001001,992
0.1301002,092

Spread0.002Mid0.074

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.073200200
0.072250450
0.071200650
0.070269919
0.0692001,119
0.068691,188
0.067791,267
0.0665001,767
0.0471001,867
0.0461642,031
0.0455952,626
0.042202,646

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.927200200
0.928250450
0.929200650
0.930269919
0.9312001,119
0.932691,188
0.933791,267
0.9345001,767
0.9531001,867
0.9541642,031
0.9555952,626
0.958202,646

Spread0.002Mid0.926

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9251919
0.9241635
0.922229264
0.921728992
0.9203501,342
0.9192001,542
0.9171001,642
0.9161001,742
0.9151001,842
0.912501,892
0.9001001,992
0.8701002,092

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
smalltimezzzYes7,843.04
FablurouYes6,973.26
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes6,555
BitgodYes5,113.68
LinaBell🦊Yes4,000
sqsbYes3,030.43
aEpTcH7MFwYes3,000
PoiuztrewqYes2,500
LuckyMANNNYes2,498.63
cool.guideYes2,000
ComradeCatYes1,941.95
CaprioDiLeoYes1,602.54
sjoerdvdmackYes1,202.08
ihrekunstYes1,092.67
ChunkyMonkyYes1,000
LordYeahYes1,000
ElonJailYes880.56
hirichzhouYes774.4
Kaiji123Yes768.17
azimutpYes745

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:12:20SELLYes0.078379$29.56
14:12:12SELLYes0.079200$15.80
14:09:48SELLYes0.0772972302995$76.88
14:03:44BUYYes0.07918$1.40
14:03:39BUYYes0.07947$3.71
14:03:35BUYYes0.07716$1.20
14:03:30BUYYes0.07621$1.60
13:54:39BUYYes0.073266$19.41
13:43:41BUYYes0.06816$1.11
13:39:57BUYYes0.0678$0.56
13:38:18SELLYes0.06661$4.00
13:31:03BUYNo0.936100$93.60
13:22:24SELLYes0.06470$4.48
13:22:23SELLYes0.06470$4.48
13:22:11SELLYes0.06450$3.20
13:12:38BUYYes0.0585250254410$24.00
13:04:26BUYYes0.0535714286224$12.00
12:58:53BUYYes0.04830$1.44
12:36:00BUYNo0.95499999522$2.00
12:08:03SELLYes0.04510$0.45
11:54:05SELLYes0.045603$27.11
11:53:51SELLYes0.046100$4.60
11:53:41SELLYes0.046360$16.56
11:44:15SELLYes0.04610$0.46
11:43:51BUYNo0.952999999535$33.00