PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.013. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.013. 68 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.013205205
0.0148071,012
0.0152001,212
0.0163461,558
0.0172001,758
0.019961,854
0.0203002,154
0.0241002,254
0.0301002,354
0.0341002,454
0.119402,494
0.129402,534

Spread0.001Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0127373
0.0111,0001,073
0.010681,141
0.0097961,937
0.0082002,137
0.0071,2003,337
0.0061053,442
0.0054043,846
0.0042004,046
0.0031,0005,046
0.0021,2006,246
0.0016,98613,232

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9887373
0.9891,0001,073
0.990681,141
0.9917961,937
0.9922002,137
0.9931,2003,337
0.9941053,442
0.9954043,846
0.9962004,046
0.9971,0005,046
0.9981,2006,246
0.9996,98613,232

Spread0.001Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.987205205
0.9868071,012
0.9852001,212
0.9843461,558
0.9832001,758
0.981961,854
0.9803002,154
0.9761002,254
0.9701002,354
0.9661002,454
0.881402,494
0.871402,534

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LordYeahYes5,000
smalltimezzzYes4,642.06
ChunkyMonkyYes3,400
wakuwaku3Yes2,569.91
CaprioDiLeoYes2,325
cool.guideYes2,000
RizhYes2,000
FablurouYes1,500
LowcellYes1,009.96
BrotherinchristYes1,000
BitgodYes750
ZYbRUIpLYes645.06
MelaoYes520
exp7incherYes500
BoycrryptYes439.92
ComradeCatYes414.23
oboltusovaoYes310.01
RuizinessYes200
neverhackmeYes176.67
YoyobinksYes137.82

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:42:38BUYYes0.011999999983$1.00
21:32:17BUYYes0.011365789440$5.00
21:10:35BUYYes0.00990139111,010$10.00
19:20:41BUYYes0.0061821,000$6.18
19:04:30BUYYes0.005138$0.69
18:54:08BUYYes0.005200$1.00
18:14:06BUYYes0.004129$0.52
15:11:17SELLYes0.00255$0.11
15:11:06SELLYes0.002100$0.20
15:05:00SELLYes0.002118$0.24
15:04:57SELLYes0.002100$0.20
15:04:57SELLYes0.002100$0.20
15:04:57SELLYes0.002318$0.64
15:04:56SELLYes0.002100$0.20
15:04:56BUYYes0.0044761,000$4.48
14:56:51SELLYes0.002500$1.00
14:12:14SELLYes0.002113$0.23
14:04:54SELLYes0.002118$0.24
14:04:54BUYYes0.004650759645$3.00
14:02:30BUYYes0.0036104143316$1.14
13:45:03SELLYes0.002118$0.24
13:23:57BUYYes0.003932$2.80
13:23:57SELLYes0.00368$0.20
13:23:57SELLYes0.002132$0.26
13:20:03SELLYes0.002137$0.27