PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.035. up 0.034 over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.002 to 0.100. 110 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0379191
0.038100191
0.03996287
0.0405292
0.0459301
0.04610311
0.04921332
0.050200532
0.05214546
0.056100646
0.0575001,146
0.059171,163

Spread0.004Mid0.035

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0331010
0.032500510
0.031200710
0.030205915
0.0292051,120
0.0282001,320
0.0271001,420
0.02661,426
0.025111,437
0.0241001,537
0.02051,542
0.01961,548

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9671010
0.968500510
0.969200710
0.970205915
0.9712051,120
0.9722001,320
0.9731001,420
0.97461,426
0.975111,437
0.9761001,537
0.98051,542
0.98161,548

Spread0.004Mid0.965

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9639191
0.962100191
0.96196287
0.9605292
0.9559301
0.95410311
0.95121332
0.950200532
0.94814546
0.944100646
0.9435001,146
0.941171,163

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Mac-GyverYes18,687.97
LordYeahYes17,934.93
ElonurmomYes5,404.71
LinaBell🦊Yes4,000
RizhYes3,500.2
smalltimezzzYes3,085.91
wakuwaku3Yes2,481.8
FablurouYes2,000
ComradeCatYes1,999.81
PoiuztrewqYes1,999.8
cool.guideYes1,801
lox97Yes1,433.52
Romeo005Yes1,145.32
ChunkyMonkyYes1,000
Kaiji123Yes1,000
saragusYes1,000
0x13e4…d532Yes732.53
BitgodYes600.79
AJSVYes530.82
MelaoYes520

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:37:31SELLYes0.0378240918523$19.78
16:34:24SELLYes0.042292$12.26
16:31:31SELLYes0.04310$0.43
16:25:49SELLYes0.045733$32.96
16:25:36SELLYes0.04513$0.56
16:21:30BUYNo0.95650$47.80
16:21:00BUYNo0.962999999221$20.00
16:20:04SELLNo0.97100$97.00
16:18:34SELLNo0.9716$5.83
16:16:27SELLNo0.9716$5.83
16:15:03SELLYes0.029240$6.96
16:13:49SELLNo0.97152$50.49
16:09:43SELLNo0.971100$97.10
16:07:25BUYYes0.029500$14.50
15:52:54SELLNo0.972100$97.20
15:51:18SELLNo0.97255$53.46
15:35:33BUYYes0.027500$13.50
15:06:07SELLNo0.9825$4.91
14:58:01SELLNo0.9885$4.94
14:36:30SELLNo0.995$5.04
14:28:42SELLNo0.991100$99.10
14:28:16SELLNo0.9925$4.96
14:25:58BUYYes0.007105$0.73
14:23:15BUYNo0.993510$10.13
13:13:49SELLYes0.0085$0.04