CloudFile10
0xd97d6430f64c397e557106ebf70a0ddeb7f7d7d8
- Realised P&L
- $-762.42
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 543
- Open portfolio
- $124.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded543
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.466 | 0.635 | $44.45 | +$11.85 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.255 | $26.10 | −$1.38 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes | 0.843 | 0.815 | $15.73 | −$0.54 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.611 | $12.22 | +$1.82 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.205 | $8.20 | +$2.32 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.695 | $6.95 | +$1.05 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.365 | $5.47 | −$4.28 |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.630 | $3.72 | +$1.95 |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.370 | $1.60 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.38at 0.459Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$46.94at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$28.26at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$22.47at 0.838Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$20.92at 0.823Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 00:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 04:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 15:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6206896359 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 00:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5688839854 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 00:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6302190011 | $10.00 |