PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd358eFA382aF82d9560CB847b2D6956d2bB8F16E-1773084494022

0xd358efa382af82d9560cb847b2d6956d2bb8f16e

Realised P&L
$-84.97
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
1,416
Open portfolio
$11.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,416
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7000.905$3.88+$0.88
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9160.973$2.12+$0.12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.6590.954$1.45+$0.45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7900.935$1.18+$0.18
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? · Up0.9100.905$0.99$0.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.835$0.98$0.02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.6680.046$0.77$10.23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.4500.135$0.30$0.70
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.7400.125$0.17$0.83
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6170.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up0.7230.000$0.00$0.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Up0.7140.000$0.00$0.77
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5950.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$1.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Down0.5940.000$0.00$1.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 11:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.849999915$1.00
07-20 21:21Will Rodri join Real Madrid?BUY0.1749998775$1.00
07-19 10:39Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999289$3.00
07-18 23:05Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.409999991$10.00
07-18 21:03France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.55$1.00
07-18 20:43France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6999999767$3.00
07-10 15:39Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3859998487$1.00
07-10 15:39Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
07-02 15:41Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.975$5.00
07-02 15:41Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9649999942$5.00
07-02 15:41Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9359998607$5.00
07-02 15:40Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.936$5.00
07-02 15:40Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9189999947$5.00
07-02 15:40Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.900999985$5.00
07-02 15:40Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8169999894$1.00