PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd18846C09294227F07F811814Dc00e3c1Dce6F68-1781418346721

0xd18846c09294227f07f811814dc00e3c1dce6f68

Realised P&L
$-93.88
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$113.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3300.275$91.67$18.33
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · Yes0.0260.036$2.75+$0.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1400.155$2.21+$0.21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2100.157$1.50$0.50
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0900.065$1.44$0.56
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1200.135$1.12+$0.12
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0420.045$1.08+$0.08
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? · Yes0.2200.110$1.00$1.00
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.2900.285$0.98$0.02
Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes0.0900.085$0.94$0.06
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.1600.075$0.94$1.06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$0.93$0.07
US announces military base in Israel in 2026? · Yes0.2500.225$0.90$0.10
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.2900.065$0.90$3.10
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.090$0.82$1.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 07:26Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
09-06 07:24Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List?BUY0.0489534453$1.00
09-06 07:24Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.059999946$1.00
09-06 07:23Israel election: will Likud lose seats?BUY0.0909090909$1.00
09-06 07:21Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
09-06 07:20Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.089999919$1.00
09-06 07:20Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
09-06 04:12Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.0145565016$1.00
08-19 15:28Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.011999988$1.00
08-05 07:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.74$9.25
08-03 13:59Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-03 13:57Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-03 13:56Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-03 13:55Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-03 13:55U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?BUY0.2$1.00