0xd18846C09294227F07F811814Dc00e3c1Dce6F68-1781418346721
0xd18846c09294227f07f811814dc00e3c1dce6f68
- Realised P&L
- $-93.88
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $113.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.91at 0.062Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$12.27at 0.380 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$10.07at 0.093Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?
- +$9.50at 0.340Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
- +$8.50at 0.300Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 07:26 | Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:24 | Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? | BUY | 0.0489534453 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:24 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:23 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.0909090909 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:20 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:20 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 04:12 | Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | BUY | 0.0145565016 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 15:28 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $9.25 |
| 08-03 13:59 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:57 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 13:56 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:55 | Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 13:55 | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |