PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Barcide

0xd04d7af3db6c13e8c6a1a7d5954097a4af873dda

Realised P&L
$13.3k
Volume
$567.7k
Markets traded
776
Open portfolio
$16.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded776
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.8380.915$3.2k+$269.02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8200.825$2.5k+$15.25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7690.875$2.3k+$276.03
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · No0.6950.885$2.0k+$434.89
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.6900.925$1.3k+$340.75
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.865$983.51−$17.05
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · No0.8400.920$711.99+$61.91
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8920.935$628.62+$28.62
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6240.715$573.04+$73.05
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.6240.945$419.67+$142.65
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? · No0.5500.931$279.45+$114.45
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.940$273.21+$23.21
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · No0.8100.555$270.35−$124.22
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.935$228.05+$28.05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.2800.255$182.14−$17.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 07:52US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.2799999997$200.00
10-29 07:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8199999999$2.5k
10-29 05:52Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January?BUY0.7399999991$170.00
10-12 01:05Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6238608348$500.00
10-12 01:03Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8924311427$600.00
10-12 01:03Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8601502462$250.00
10-05 07:00Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?BUY0.63$63.00
09-23 05:55Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?BUY0.92$40.00
09-21 17:07Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?BUY0.89$200.00
09-21 07:41Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999967$200.00
09-21 06:13Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.9399999976$300.00
09-15 18:57Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$1.1k
09-06 15:11Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.64$100.00
09-06 14:53Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?BUY0.4299999998$500.00
09-06 14:53Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?BUY0.8499999998$200.00