Barcide
0xd04d7af3db6c13e8c6a1a7d5954097a4af873dda
- Realised P&L
- $13.3k
- Volume
- $567.7k
- Markets traded
- 776
- Open portfolio
- $16.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded776
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.822Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?
- +$1.2kat 0.293Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
- +$1.1kat 0.994Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?
- +$784.99at 0.215Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
- +$768.89at 0.910Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:52 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.2799999997 | $200.00 |
| 10-29 07:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $2.5k |
| 10-29 05:52 | Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January? | BUY | 0.7399999991 | $170.00 |
| 10-12 01:05 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6238608348 | $500.00 |
| 10-12 01:03 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8924311427 | $600.00 |
| 10-12 01:03 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8601502462 | $250.00 |
| 10-05 07:00 | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 09-23 05:55 | Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.00 |
| 09-21 17:07 | Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 07:41 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 06:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 18:57 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.1k |
| 09-06 15:11 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 14:53 | Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.4299999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-06 14:53 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |