PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

k2nnu2mblik

0xcfbe88ae531dfc4a6327aff0f29fc8602adc5a92

Realised P&L
$-30.15
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$48.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4600.745$16.20+$6.20
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.6100.725$11.89+$1.89
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5130.374$9.29−$3.43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2380.201$8.42−$1.58
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes0.1300.036$2.77−$7.23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$10.00
Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi · Hikaru Shiraishi0.1100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will FK Fakel Voronezh win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$10.00
Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris · Lloyd Harris0.8100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$10.00
Phan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Tai Sach · Tai Sach0.7100.000$0.00−$10.00
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies0.7100.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.1950.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 07:25Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5129999925$12.72
09-22 07:24Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.6899999821$10.00
09-22 07:24Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.609999986$10.00
09-22 07:24Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
09-22 07:23Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2379999984$10.00
09-16 13:07Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd HarrisBUY0.8099999854$10.00
09-16 13:07Biella: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Stefano NapolitanoBUY0.6599999842$10.00
09-16 11:44Ljubljana: Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine GorgodzeSELL0.73$9.86
09-16 11:43Ljubljana: Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine GorgodzeBUY0.729999954$10.00
09-16 08:18Ljubljana: Barbora Palicova vs Samira De StefanoBUY0.64$12.00
09-16 08:18Guangzhou: Federico Cina vs James Kent TrotterBUY0.6499999935$10.00
09-15 09:50Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru ShiraishiBUY0.1099999999$10.00
09-15 06:57Phan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Tai SachBUY0.7099999815$10.00
09-14 06:16Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Sergio CallejonBUY0.3458870143$10.00
09-13 21:46Guadalajara Open Akron: Panna Udvardy vs Lois BoissonBUY0.7099999815$10.00