k2nnu2mblik
0xcfbe88ae531dfc4a6327aff0f29fc8602adc5a92
- Realised P&L
- $-30.15
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $48.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.52at 0.432Cardinals vs. Chargers
- +$11.96at 0.630Oklahoma vs. Michigan
- +$11.01at 0.482Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Lukas Neumayer
- +$10.57at 0.492Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?
- +$10.00at 0.750Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:25 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5129999925 | $12.72 |
| 09-22 07:24 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 07:24 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 07:24 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 07:23 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2379999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 13:07 | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 13:07 | Biella: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Stefano Napolitano | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 11:44 | Ljubljana: Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze | SELL | 0.73 | $9.86 |
| 09-16 11:43 | Ljubljana: Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:18 | Ljubljana: Barbora Palicova vs Samira De Stefano | BUY | 0.64 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 08:18 | Guangzhou: Federico Cina vs James Kent Trotter | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 09:50 | Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 06:57 | Phan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Tai Sach | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 06:16 | Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Sergio Callejon | BUY | 0.3458870143 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 21:46 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Panna Udvardy vs Lois Boisson | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |