PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

linyuzhi

0xccdf09de20b4f33c0f698915bbf09f75d3ecb8a7

Realised P&L
$147.79
Volume
$50.6k
Markets traded
228
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded228
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.9210.974$318.33+$17.14
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.9370.990$219.26+$11.63
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9250.976$195.10+$10.10
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9300.987$92.20+$5.32
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9000.956$57.36+$3.36
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.9730.951$57.03−$1.35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6900.825$7.42+$1.22
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.967$5.80+$0.52
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · No0.7000.967$4.83+$1.33
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · No0.8600.967$4.83+$0.54
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6600.952$4.76+$1.46
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.5900.945$4.72+$1.77
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? · No0.7600.945$4.72+$0.93
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.7450.939$4.70+$0.97
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3600.935$4.67+$2.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 08:13Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.6522857959$22.82
10-25 08:12Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.96991$96.99
10-24 16:23Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.92$37.73
10-22 01:52Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?BUY0.13$2.60
10-21 12:23Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.93$86.87
10-21 12:14Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.85$34.86
10-21 12:13Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.91$182.00
10-17 03:51Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9457162849$100.00
06-13 04:06Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.16$0.80
06-13 04:05Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?SELL0.21$1.05
06-10 14:40Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.984$295.20
06-05 13:24Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.977$416.45
05-16 15:18Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.95$95.00
05-16 15:18Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL0.989$98.90
04-26 15:31Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?SELL0.009$0.19