linyuzhi
0xccdf09de20b4f33c0f698915bbf09f75d3ecb8a7
- Realised P&L
- $147.79
- Volume
- $50.6k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.95at 0.160Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$120.00at 0.760Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?
- +$79.50at 0.580Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
- +$74.07at 0.425Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$53.85at 0.817Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 08:13 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6522857959 | $22.82 |
| 10-25 08:12 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.96991 | $96.99 |
| 10-24 16:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.92 | $37.73 |
| 10-22 01:52 | Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 10-21 12:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $86.87 |
| 10-21 12:14 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.86 |
| 10-21 12:13 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 10-17 03:51 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9457162849 | $100.00 |
| 06-13 04:06 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 06-13 04:05 | Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 06-10 14:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.984 | $295.20 |
| 06-05 13:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.977 | $416.45 |
| 05-16 15:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 05-16 15:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 04-26 15:31 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.19 |