0xcb67d58F5a9031DC64DdB2F5a3166B3DCb7d499B-1768312812348
0xcb67d58f5a9031dc64ddb2f5a3166b3dcb7d499b
- Realised P&L
- $1.74
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $50.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.350Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.13at 0.640Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$1.08at 0.480Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.96at 0.757Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 05:49 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:49 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:49 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.944999159 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:49 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:48 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:48 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.944999159 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:48 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:48 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:47 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:47 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:47 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:46 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:46 | Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 05:46 | Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 05:45 | Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |