PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc9f197ffc1e66ace792419966a1290c13deb137c

Realised P&L
$939.42
Volume
$157.0k
Markets traded
744
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded744
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8520.958$4.3k+$480.80
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9180.958$962.75+$39.93
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.7160.625$476.22$69.23
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3190.255$338.16$84.66
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6990.601$283.34$46.66
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.835$270.52+$40.59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9200.964$261.82+$11.82
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8000.895$223.85+$23.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3000.845$213.93+$137.98
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8890.951$213.84+$13.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5930.945$159.38+$59.38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5430.735$135.25+$35.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · No0.2900.705$121.55+$71.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? · Yes0.8301.000$120.42+$20.42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2610.556$101.30+$53.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:46Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?BUY0.2899999985$50.00
09-17 04:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999995$100.00
09-14 19:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8699999904$50.00
09-12 17:11Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.42$85.19
09-11 22:22Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?BUY0.3099999992$50.00
09-11 20:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.8299999993$100.00
09-10 21:29Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$88.31
09-10 21:28Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.414136389$111.13
09-10 08:26US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovBUY0.8199999993$90.00
09-10 08:24Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.492999999$100.00
09-09 07:59US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de ZandschulpBUY0.119999999$10.00
09-09 07:52US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.7399999985$50.00
09-09 07:49Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.999$576.65
09-07 08:21US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBUY0.7799999995$300.00
09-07 08:18US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen ZhengBUY0.8$50.00