PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc9f197ffc1e66ace792419966a1290c13deb137c

Realised P&L
$495.03
Volume
$146.6k
Markets traded
662
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded662
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8520.945$5.0k+$493.95
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9180.946$950.69+$27.86
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.7160.625$476.22$69.23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9200.955$259.37+$9.37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.795$257.57+$27.63
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8000.865$216.34+$16.35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.9240.945$204.47+$4.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5930.755$127.34+$27.34
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.345$126.52+$20.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3000.445$112.66+$36.71
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8610.920$106.89+$6.89
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5430.545$100.29+$0.29
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · No0.4800.480$100.00+$0.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2570.195$55.48$17.64
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8700.915$52.59+$2.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:15Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?BUY0.7399999985$50.00
08-02 16:14Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.7199999862$50.00
08-02 16:10Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9499999981$100.00
08-02 16:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.7499999887$50.00
08-02 16:07Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$10.00
08-02 16:06Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5799999988$50.00
08-02 16:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
08-02 16:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.0231218551$10.00
07-30 09:05Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.949999989$56.00
07-25 14:52Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.75$17.72
07-22 06:58Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2652298974$63.12
07-22 06:57Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.5699999966$10.00
07-21 11:47LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageBUY0.3899999902$20.00
07-20 22:24Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.94$94.00
07-20 07:28Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.5429334988$78.53