0xc9f197ffc1e66ace792419966a1290c13deb137c
- Realised P&L
- $495.03
- Volume
- $146.6k
- Markets traded
- 662
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded662
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.429Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$887.34at 0.338Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$316.67at 0.240Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$273.82at 0.755Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
- +$271.50at 0.400Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:15 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.7399999985 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 16:14 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999862 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 16:10 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 16:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7499999887 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 16:07 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 16:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0231218551 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 09:05 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.949999989 | $56.00 |
| 07-25 14:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $17.72 |
| 07-22 06:58 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2652298974 | $63.12 |
| 07-22 06:57 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 11:47 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 22:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 07-20 07:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.5429334988 | $78.53 |