0xc6958b562d43dfc10c08a5579e918ebdf2075cfb-1792171564222
0xc6958b562d43dfc10c08a5579e918ebdf2075cfb
- Realised P&L
- $-217.70
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $913.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.100Paris curfew by October 24?
- +$1.45at 0.169Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$0.64at 0.840Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
- +$0.61at 0.692Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?
- +$0.55at 0.262Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 05:03 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 05:03 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.817 | $30.11 |
| 10-18 05:02 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? | SELL | 0.318 | $3.68 |
| 10-18 02:16 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.645 | $479.88 |
| 10-18 02:16 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.646 | $43.70 |
| 10-18 02:14 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.647 | $525.13 |
| 10-18 01:56 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $120.00 |
| 10-18 01:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.38 |
| 10-18 01:56 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? | SELL | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 10-18 01:55 | Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.53 | $31.80 |
| 10-18 01:55 | Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $5B? | SELL | 0.6139015293 | $16.46 |
| 10-18 01:55 | Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.95 |
| 10-18 01:54 | Will Ethan Belchetz win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 10-17 09:15 | Will Jynxzi reach Unreal rank in Fortnite by October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 10-17 03:41 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $4.92 |