PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc6958b562d43dfc10c08a5579e918ebdf2075cfb-1792171564222

0xc6958b562d43dfc10c08a5579e918ebdf2075cfb

Realised P&L
$-217.70
Volume
$19.0k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$913.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? · Yes0.8800.870$87.00−$1.00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? · No0.6480.647$64.70−$0.10
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.6510.623$62.25−$2.85
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours? · Yes0.6600.600$60.00−$6.00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.7500.740$57.90−$0.78
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? · No0.7060.502$50.25−$20.35
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · No0.5900.450$45.00−$14.00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? · No0.7900.760$38.00−$1.50
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? · No0.7990.615$30.73−$9.22
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? · Yes0.3100.265$26.50−$4.50
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31? · No0.7300.655$26.20−$3.00
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? · No0.7600.645$25.80−$4.60
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? · Yes0.3800.255$25.50−$12.50
Will "When I'm Home" from The Odyssey be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.6100.545$24.50−$2.92
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · Yes0.5300.445$22.25−$4.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 05:03Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?SELL0.4$20.00
10-18 05:03Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.817$30.11
10-18 05:02Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?SELL0.318$3.68
10-18 02:16Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.645$479.88
10-18 02:16Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.646$43.70
10-18 02:14Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.647$525.13
10-18 01:56Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$120.00
10-18 01:56Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?SELL0.47$1.38
10-18 01:56Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?SELL0.67$33.50
10-18 01:55Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.53$31.80
10-18 01:55Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $5B?SELL0.6139015293$16.46
10-18 01:55Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?SELL0.02$0.95
10-18 01:54Will Ethan Belchetz win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?SELL0.003$0.07
10-17 09:15Will Jynxzi reach Unreal rank in Fortnite by October 23, 2026?SELL0.4$40.00
10-17 03:41Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SELL0.58$4.92