vibekot
0xc3e5e0bd77873854a884f7942c4b5e5e4f62015d
- Realised P&L
- $-47.09
- Volume
- $51.4k
- Markets traded
- 350
- Open portfolio
- $560.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded350
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.55at 0.265Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$93.17at 0.715US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$64.37at 0.925Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
- +$63.20at 0.776Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$56.22at 0.514Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:25 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9329999923 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 09:50 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 09:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 09:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 09:43 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? | BUY | 0.9859999998 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 07:41 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.57 |
| 08-17 20:07 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.2912621059 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 18:56 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $8.39 |
| 08-15 15:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9743760721 | $150.00 |
| 08-15 15:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.969999995 | $150.00 |
| 08-12 14:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.0149999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 12:25 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.44 |
| 08-01 23:01 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1844660054 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 23:01 | Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 22:59 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |