amarraco
0xc329e0c3e01ff7df41f21e589d38641305e66a58
- Realised P&L
- $-17.31
- Volume
- $56.6k
- Markets traded
- 579
- Open portfolio
- $484.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded579
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.09at 0.131Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$121.21at 0.704MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$116.00at 0.370Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$115.20at 0.374Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$93.00at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:48 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.904 | $9.04 |
| 09-22 21:41 | Will Sal Stewart lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.285 | $4.68 |
| 09-21 08:34 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0048 | $0.72 |
| 09-20 19:17 | Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:38 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 19:32 | Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-08 19:28 | Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 08-23 16:43 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 08-19 17:23 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 17:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 08-09 09:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-03 10:04 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.75 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 07-31 11:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 07-28 06:05 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.32 |