0xc0c0828edc68492bea37e9b98f6d7749a166205d
0xc0c0828edc68492bea37e9b98f6d7749a166205d
- Realised P&L
- $14.28
- Volume
- $508.46
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $8.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.670 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.805 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.330 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.237 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.735 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.675 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.165 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.145 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.385 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$5.69at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:41 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 10:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 01:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 06:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:16 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:58 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 15:34 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |