PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Frofcinzia82

0xbf52ad07634bef06e3e6d649477baae66bb8ee5e

Realised P&L
$45.30
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$84.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.8601.000$11.63+$1.63
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7800.835$10.71+$0.71
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8600.895$10.41+$0.41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9570.969$10.13+$0.13
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9740.973$9.99$0.01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.095$7.92$2.08
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6300.425$6.75$3.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.225$6.25$3.75
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes0.0600.032$5.33$4.67
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8700.455$5.23$4.77
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? · No0.3000.000$0.00$10.00
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? · No0.4500.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4050.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · No0.0060.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.92$5.00
08-25 13:11Solana Up or Down - August 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.1315344392$25.00
08-25 13:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSELL0.72$4.38
08-25 13:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.8199999377$5.00
08-25 12:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.849999983$5.00
08-24 22:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-24 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.56$5.80
08-24 22:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.6199999911$25.00
08-24 22:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.95$5.00
08-24 22:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-24 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.7637918983$25.00
08-24 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
08-24 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.1899999726$5.00
08-11 13:29Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?BUY0.4499999955$50.00
07-27 17:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7799999984$10.00