0xBDDED7909F0c7810AEcf89ED8a17009866D0E54a-1774574631675
0xbdded7909f0c7810aecf89ed8a17009866d0e54a
- Realised P&L
- $48.77
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $178.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.00at 0.100Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
- +$23.32at 0.089Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$20.26at 0.165Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
- +$8.39at 0.232Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$4.08at 0.091Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 15:00 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.01 |
| 04-18 15:25 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.01 |
| 04-18 08:36 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.01 |
| 04-18 02:01 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.05 |
| 04-17 15:53 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 14:16 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.054 | $0.43 |
| 04-15 02:34 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.10 |
| 04-13 16:36 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.01 |
| 04-13 12:52 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.01 |
| 04-12 13:18 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.01 |
| 04-12 11:38 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.01 |
| 04-05 22:41 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.01 |
| 04-05 02:28 | Tom Lee charged by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.03 |
| 04-03 15:21 | Tom Lee charged by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.01 |
| 04-01 03:29 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.41 |