0xBAe78099818dE91173558C8532B85D7Cbf65a3f0-1765028548572
0xbae78099818de91173558c8532b85d7cbf65a3f0
- Realised P&L
- $-25.36
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $59.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.26at 0.043S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?
- +$11.20at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.42at 0.670S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?
- +$4.88at 0.170US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$4.36at 0.325Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:07 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 11:06 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:06 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 02:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 02:21 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 02:20 | Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6949999618 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 02:17 | Will Vinted be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 06:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:30 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:29 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:25 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |