0xbabc008b31523d18c0f3a15df86513dc503bb904
0xbabc008b31523d18c0f3a15df86513dc503bb904
- Realised P&L
- $12.09
- Volume
- $351.30
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $5.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.385 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.745 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.215 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.433 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.390 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$5.33at 0.650Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
- +$4.40at 0.319Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.26at 0.380US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.422Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:53 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:42 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 13:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:42 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 06:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:04 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:36 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 02:28 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |