0xb93a72d965b9a26c624cf30510d644980c21251b
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $40.2k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$339.75at 0.270Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$309.31at 0.754US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$272.29at 0.667Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
- +$221.07at 0.680Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$187.72at 0.607Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0989999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.9106012413 | $23.48 |
| 07-19 21:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3289999875 | $12.69 |
| 07-19 21:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3269999973 | $55.00 |
| 07-19 21:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.29 | $10.18 |
| 07-19 21:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:23 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 07-19 21:17 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $30.83 |
| 07-19 18:40 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3224999852 | $9.97 |
| 07-19 18:40 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4274999991 | $80.00 |
| 07-19 16:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919999896 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 16:36 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4274999963 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 18:45 | France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1099999889 | $8.00 |
| 07-18 18:40 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 07-18 18:40 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5299999998 | $110.00 |