PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb93a72d965b9a26c624cf30510d644980c21251b

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$40.2k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8480.875$515.63+$15.83
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8910.915$359.34+$9.34
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8700.925$135.60+$8.06
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5000.605$135.31+$23.39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.4700.805$131.03+$54.53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.745$111.66$6.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.105$37.56$55.44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.6900.945$35.09+$9.47
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1840.207$24.61+$2.79
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.023$11.31$47.69
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5930.225$10.95$17.90
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.945$10.62+$0.62
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8900.880$9.89$0.11
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.045$9.00$35.00
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.6660.940$8.47+$2.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:47Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0989999832$5.00
07-19 21:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.9106012413$23.48
07-19 21:29Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3289999875$12.69
07-19 21:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3269999973$55.00
07-19 21:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.29$10.18
07-19 21:27Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.25$10.00
07-19 21:23Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.81$40.50
07-19 21:17Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.9975$30.83
07-19 18:40Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3224999852$9.97
07-19 18:40Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4274999991$80.00
07-19 16:39Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5919999896$20.00
07-19 16:36Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4274999963$50.00
07-18 18:45France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.1099999889$8.00
07-18 18:40Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.24$30.00
07-18 18:40Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5299999998$110.00