PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb886813fBC2Ef1a542E3879Bfe3002255d5072FC-1772349366848

0xb886813fbc2ef1a542e3879bfe3002255d5072fc

Realised P&L
$10.72
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$121.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? · No0.8601.000$20.00+$2.80
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · No0.9531.000$20.00+$0.94
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yes0.1201.000$20.00+$17.60
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · No0.8600.981$19.62+$2.42
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · No0.9160.937$18.74+$0.42
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · No0.9090.873$17.45−$0.73
Canada's population Up or Down this year? · Up0.4700.465$4.39−$0.05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes0.0680.063$1.26−$0.10
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.65
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$16.20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-17 06:18Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?SELL0.999$19.98
03-15 10:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.07$3.50
03-11 08:58Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?BUY0.221$7.74