zhuxinjianbtc
0xb8455941aeeb884e7ee00c3a80d771afe43fa7c1
- Realised P&L
- $-43.22
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $42.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.18at 0.017US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$20.12at 0.166Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$7.69at 0.080US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$6.98at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$6.77at 0.564Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 00:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 03:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 03:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 11:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 00:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.546 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 00:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.546 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 00:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 23:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 23:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 23:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 12:31 | Will Solana reach $80 in August? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.36 |
| 08-11 12:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.17 |
| 08-11 12:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 00:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 00:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |