PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb625F16d0d339e5b95e543bf594C6B63dE3C79C1-1773668995930

0xb625f16d0d339e5b95e543bf594c6b63de3c79c1

Realised P&L
$792.37
Volume
$30.3k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$487.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump on $250 bill this year? · No0.8500.975$162.99+$20.82
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8190.960$123.08+$18.09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6500.815$62.69+$12.69
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6580.725$33.07+$3.07
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%? · Yes0.4100.625$30.49+$10.49
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · No0.6000.845$16.90+$4.90
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6400.740$11.56+$1.56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1890.209$11.08+$1.08
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No0.5000.155$9.30$20.70
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5800.405$6.98$3.02
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.2490.150$6.03$3.97
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1730.078$4.51$5.49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.2900.060$4.14$15.86
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · No0.5900.200$3.39$6.61
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.6820.071$1.04$8.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 16:23Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.2487562189$10.00
08-11 15:32Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
08-11 15:29Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.5$30.00
08-11 15:29Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.2899999907$20.00
08-11 15:22Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.7089999972$10.00
08-11 15:22Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7669999845$10.00
08-06 08:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6784724152$20.00
08-06 08:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.359999987$10.00
08-06 08:53ITF Leipzig: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Tina ManescuBUY0.0858369099$1.00
08-05 17:48Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?BUY0.001$1.00
08-05 17:48Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.001$1.00
08-05 17:46Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.08$1.00
08-05 17:46Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-05 17:46T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Kandy RoyalsBUY0.001$1.00
08-05 17:46Will SC Schwaz vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?BUY0.0270000008$1.00