0xb625F16d0d339e5b95e543bf594C6B63dE3C79C1-1773668995930
0xb625f16d0d339e5b95e543bf594c6b63de3c79c1
- Realised P&L
- $792.37
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $487.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.60at 0.632Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$348.72at 0.670Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$108.96at 0.640Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$80.93at 0.339Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$75.61at 0.398Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 16:23 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.2487562189 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 15:32 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 15:29 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 08-11 15:29 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 15:22 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.7089999972 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 15:22 | Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.7669999845 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 08:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6784724152 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 08:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 08:53 | ITF Leipzig: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Tina Manescu | BUY | 0.0858369099 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:48 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:48 | Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:46 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:46 | Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:46 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Kandy Royals | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 17:46 | Will SC Schwaz vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0270000008 | $1.00 |