PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb5d1965494e74e584813ba6b873915d4d3db32e2

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
442
Open portfolio
$160.36

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded442
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1800.175$62.39−$1.78
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2810.155$35.23−$28.77
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2120.175$12.69−$2.68
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1230.120$9.80−$0.20
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.425$5.80−$0.20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0510.123$4.74+$2.78
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1980.184$4.29−$0.31
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1500.125$4.17−$0.83
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1900.135$3.55−$1.45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2570.095$3.38−$5.78
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$3.00−$7.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.036$2.03−$2.97
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1520.045$1.49−$3.54
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0760.035$1.19−$1.34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0660.019$0.88−$2.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:34Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999991$50.00
10-23 18:15Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.18$64.17
10-11 05:38Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$13.65
10-06 00:41Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$11.33
10-06 00:41Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$11.50
10-06 00:40Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.56$30.80
09-26 04:47Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$22.37
09-26 04:47Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.346494287$52.46
09-19 22:04Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-19 22:03Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999993$20.00
09-19 22:03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$70.00
09-19 22:02Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$50.00
09-18 23:43Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-18 23:43Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.1$2.50
09-18 23:43Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0229999998$2.50