issamemario
0xb5d1965494e74e584813ba6b873915d4d3db32e2
- Realised P&L
- $-370.91
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 430
- Open portfolio
- $50.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded430
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.06at 0.153Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.90at 0.062Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
- +$15.34at 0.340Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
- +$15.20at 0.138Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
- +$14.23at 0.587Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 02:44 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.40 |
| 09-05 02:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.69 |
| 09-05 02:43 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0322263726 | $0.72 |
| 09-05 02:43 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.23 |
| 09-05 02:43 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.39 |
| 09-05 02:43 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.50 |
| 09-05 02:43 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-05 02:42 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.86 |
| 09-05 02:42 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.21 |
| 09-05 02:42 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.114 | $0.81 |
| 09-05 02:42 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.92 |
| 09-05 02:42 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.117 | $1.01 |
| 09-05 02:42 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.36 |
| 09-05 02:42 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.114 | $0.81 |
| 09-05 02:41 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.085 | $7.22 |