PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

issamemario

0xb5d1965494e74e584813ba6b873915d4d3db32e2

Realised P&L
$-370.91
Volume
$21.6k
Markets traded
430
Open portfolio
$50.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded430
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1980.210$10.42+$0.62
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.185$6.60+$3.13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1230.075$6.14$3.86
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0510.132$5.05+$3.09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3030.165$4.36$3.64
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.240$3.27$2.73
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1520.065$2.15$2.88
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0760.055$1.84$0.69
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0660.038$1.74$1.26
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0170.011$1.48$0.69
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.046$1.22+$0.22
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.037$1.10+$0.10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.029$0.86$0.14
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0800.057$0.71$0.29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2440.160$0.65$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 02:44Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.13$5.40
09-05 02:43Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$5.69
09-05 02:43Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.0322263726$0.72
09-05 02:43Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.009$1.23
09-05 02:43Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.07$1.39
09-05 02:43Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.004$0.50
09-05 02:43Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?SELL0.13$0.65
09-05 02:42Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.003$0.86
09-05 02:42Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.58$1.21
09-05 02:42Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.114$0.81
09-05 02:42Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$0.92
09-05 02:42Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?SELL0.117$1.01
09-05 02:42Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.57$1.36
09-05 02:42Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.114$0.81
09-05 02:41Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.085$7.22