0xb4b513bc48279ad795eefedf204aef3936ec1bd4
- Realised P&L
- $-958.50
- Volume
- $82.2k
- Markets traded
- 509
- Open portfolio
- $70.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded509
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys · Madison Keys | 0.450 | 0.445 | $37.86 | −$0.43 |
| National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils · Mariano Navone | 0.360 | 0.245 | $11.73 | −$5.50 |
| National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang · Luciano Darderi | 0.470 | 0.485 | $8.91 | +$0.28 |
| Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.040 | $5.34 | −$4.66 |
| National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · Talia Gibson | 0.430 | 0.485 | $2.85 | +$0.32 |
| Will Casper Ruud Win ATP Montreal · Yes | 0.059 | 0.049 | $1.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Liudmila Samsonova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.022 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.026 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.017 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.59at 0.093Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$136.37at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$125.79at 0.510Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$112.16at 0.680Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$95.91at 0.706Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:05 | National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | BUY | 0.4299999711 | $2.53 |
| 08-06 05:04 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang | BUY | 0.4699999744 | $8.63 |
| 08-06 05:04 | National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | BUY | 0.4499999982 | $38.29 |
| 08-06 05:03 | National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Fils | BUY | 0.3599999875 | $17.23 |
| 08-06 04:39 | Will Liudmila Samsonova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 04:35 | Will Casper Ruud Win ATP Montreal | BUY | 0.0588235294 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 21:19 | National Bank Open: Titouan Droguet vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.509999948 | $2.65 |
| 08-05 21:19 | National Bank Open: Titouan Droguet vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.5099999807 | $8.97 |
| 08-05 21:19 | National Bank Open: Titouan Droguet vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.5099999975 | $39.36 |
| 08-05 21:19 | National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulp | SELL | 0.75 | $53.41 |
| 08-05 20:20 | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BUY | 0.3099999715 | $6.85 |
| 08-05 20:20 | National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.7599999946 | $22.54 |
| 08-05 20:13 | National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:38 | National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton | SELL | 0.13 | $3.85 |
| 08-05 18:31 | National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.3899999503 | $4.00 |