PolyBot

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Traders

0xb4b513bc48279ad795eefedf204aef3936ec1bd4

0xb4b513bc48279ad795eefedf204aef3936ec1bd4

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$147.7k
Markets traded
1,304
Open portfolio
$86.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,304
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.004$28.51−$9.50
China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens · Elise Mertens0.5350.525$22.85−$0.42
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo · Denis Shapovalov0.5700.565$16.82−$0.15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.003$9.88−$2.65
China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin · Roman Safiullin0.4400.425$3.54−$0.12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.004$3.07−$2.75
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0310.026$0.84−$0.16
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0530.018$0.35−$0.65
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0310.009$0.31−$0.69
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$9.15
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 21:43China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman SafiullinBUY0.4399999904$3.66
10-02 20:46China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise MertensBUY0.5299999885$12.39
10-02 20:44Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloBUY0.5699999966$16.97
10-02 20:43Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?SELL0.999$34.12
10-02 16:18Will Latvia vs. Montenegro end in a draw?BUY0.16$2.59
10-02 16:17Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.3499999885$9.15
10-02 16:17Will Armenia win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.2599999871$4.83
10-02 16:17Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.1799999911$2.83
10-02 16:16Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?BUY0.2$6.83
10-02 15:49Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ABUY0.3599999712$4.00
10-02 09:52Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoeBUY0.2962962963$4.00
10-02 08:37China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina KudermetovaBUY0.5$5.00
10-02 08:34China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi OsakaBUY0.2199999974$5.00
10-02 08:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
10-02 08:31Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$1.00