Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-05
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.211. up 0.114 over the period, from 0.097. Range 0.090 to 0.235. 42 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.218	42	42
0.222	9	51
0.243	1	52
0.249	33	85
0.250	266	351
0.253	13	364
0.256	200	564
0.261	60	624
0.262	200	824
0.265	60	884
0.266	200	1,084
0.271	10	1,094

Spread0.013Mid0.211

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.205	8	8
0.204	277	285
0.203	412	697
0.201	100	797
0.199	100	897
0.198	35	932
0.194	90	1,022
0.193	300	1,322
0.192	189	1,511
0.191	680	2,191
0.190	600	2,791
0.189	200	2,991

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.795	8	8
0.796	277	285
0.797	412	697
0.799	100	797
0.801	100	897
0.802	35	932
0.806	90	1,022
0.807	300	1,322
0.808	189	1,511
0.809	680	2,191
0.810	600	2,791
0.811	200	2,991

Spread0.013Mid0.788

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.782	42	42
0.778	9	51
0.757	1	52
0.751	33	85
0.750	266	351
0.747	13	364
0.744	200	564
0.739	60	624
0.738	200	824
0.735	60	884
0.734	200	1,084
0.729	10	1,094

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
Mac-Gyver	Yes	1,301.58
0x5c4f…3338	Yes	1,000
ljldkasjdl	Yes	865.66
smalltimezzz	Yes	805.16
slownsteadyalltheway	Yes	678.96
Faris20000	Yes	430.83
0x984F667BeC77FeaD7181e9c902A5591aa358ba69-1781038144198	Yes	195.23
runes-leo	Yes	150
szy10010	Yes	132
0x2F698eE622FE77Da565e47479C6AF6C660f1Cf59-1782312750937	Yes	106.65
IlyaFed	Yes	100
0x20E1e2248FfD1413c1230EdF2a366b946eEbBeAB-1772286951101	Yes	83.33
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	63.25
mwss	Yes	50
mustbethewater	Yes	50
weatherlover21	Yes	37.56
oboltusovao	Yes	37.5
Almamy	Yes	30.39
rammicrypto	Yes	28.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:41:17	SELL	Yes	0.205	49	$10.12
08:10:36	BUY	No	0.8029999764	6	$5.00
06:57:20	BUY	Yes	0.241999943	12	$3.00
06:37:38	BUY	No	0.778	28	$21.78
05:33:08	BUY	Yes	0.2399999918	83	$20.00
05:12:30	BUY	Yes	0.242999836	4	$1.00
04:55:27	BUY	No	0.7779999949	5	$3.95
04:37:23	BUY	No	0.7859998042	5	$3.95
04:18:38	BUY	No	0.794	66	$52.56
04:18:36	BUY	No	0.7939	135	$107.18
04:18:23	BUY	Yes	0.2310376855	866	$200.00
04:05:44	BUY	No	0.7859999971	57	$45.03
03:51:03	SELL	Yes	0.221	0	$0.04
03:38:56	BUY	Yes	0.242999836	4	$1.00
03:25:21	BUY	No	0.7909999854	13	$10.00
03:03:35	SELL	Yes	0.212	5	$0.99
02:22:57	SELL	Yes	0.223	17	$3.70
02:20:18	BUY	Yes	0.23	53	$12.19
02:17:30	BUY	Yes	0.227	11	$2.50
02:16:57	SELL	Yes	0.223	61	$13.67
02:12:12	BUY	Yes	0.22699993	9	$2.00
02:10:06	SELL	Yes	0.224	5	$1.05
02:00:17	BUY	Yes	0.2289999754	30	$6.96
01:02:05	BUY	No	0.787	12	$9.44
00:18:08	SELL	No	0.801	25	$20.03