PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-07
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.06. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.06 to 0.15. 122 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.067575
0.07285360
0.08217577
0.09206783
0.10206989
0.11501,039
0.131471,186
0.141861,372
0.152221,594
0.162271,821
0.172942,115
0.182572,371

Spread0.01Mid0.06

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.05590590
0.042,6453,235
0.0310,95314,188
0.029,88524,072
0.0116,26240,334

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.95590590
0.962,6453,235
0.9710,95314,188
0.989,88524,072
0.9916,26240,334

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.947575
0.93285360
0.92217577
0.91206783
0.90206989
0.89501,039
0.871471,186
0.861861,372
0.852221,594
0.842271,821
0.832942,115
0.822572,371

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
JasonzzYes10,000
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
LinaBell🦊Yes5,000
Kaiji123Yes4,919
smalltimezzzYes4,562.61
PrexpectYes3,496.88
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,200
Bobi-BeebsYes2,731.4
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,600
shotsrYes1,600
hetaczYes1,499.99
PoiuztrewqYes1,405.3
LuckyMANNNYes1,300.14
dddtripsYes1,288.6
0x9b257ead1a6240d4ab5c2ae0253Yes1,126.43
ThreepeeoYes950
0xFd67277Fa638e39eaE6Yes900
hulitest2025Yes800
BitgodYes605.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:48:14BUYYes0.0681$4.85
02:27:29BUYYes0.0684$5.04
02:15:45BUYYes0.0620$1.20
02:12:56BUYYes0.06140$8.40
02:08:42SELLYes0.0564$3.20
02:07:05SELLYes0.0530$1.50
02:07:03SELLYes0.0520$1.00
01:44:24SELLYes0.055$0.25
01:18:02SELLYes0.05201$10.05
01:04:50BUYYes0.05999994617$1.00
00:39:14SELLYes0.0557$2.85
00:28:20SELLYes0.0510$0.50
00:01:00SELLYes0.05380$19.00
23:58:12SELLYes0.05100$5.00
23:44:12SELLYes0.0554$2.70
23:39:20BUYYes0.0629$1.74
23:12:21SELLYes0.0571$3.55
23:06:39SELLYes0.059$0.45
23:00:35BUYYes0.0673$4.41
22:00:57BUYYes0.0640$2.41
22:00:35BUYYes0.06100$6.00
20:20:59SELLYes0.05220$11.00
20:18:38SELLYes0.05507$25.34
20:18:27SELLYes0.06323$19.39
20:12:41BUYYes0.073$0.24