Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-11
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.16. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.15 to 0.17. 55 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	1,146	1,146
0.18	551	1,697
0.19	996	2,693
0.20	831	3,523
0.21	177	3,700
0.22	149	3,849
0.23	91	3,940
0.24	563	4,503
0.25	500	5,002
0.26	411	5,413
0.27	400	5,813
0.28	409	6,222

Spread0.02Mid0.16

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	849	849
0.14	338	1,187
0.13	300	1,487
0.12	284	1,771
0.11	578	2,349
0.10	1,260	3,609
0.09	5	3,614
0.07	200	3,814
0.06	1,145	4,959
0.05	23,130	28,089
0.04	4,179	32,268
0.03	9,262	41,530

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	849	849
0.86	338	1,187
0.87	300	1,487
0.88	284	1,771
0.89	578	2,349
0.90	1,260	3,609
0.91	5	3,614
0.93	200	3,814
0.94	1,145	4,959
0.95	23,130	28,089
0.96	4,179	32,268
0.97	9,262	41,530

Spread0.02Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	1,146	1,146
0.82	551	1,697
0.81	996	2,693
0.80	831	3,523
0.79	177	3,700
0.78	149	3,849
0.77	91	3,940
0.76	563	4,503
0.75	500	5,002
0.74	411	5,413
0.73	400	5,813
0.72	409	6,222

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801	Yes	3,200.7
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203	Yes	2,600
hetacz	Yes	1,500
Poiuztrewq	Yes	1,405.45
Kaiji123	Yes	1,209.72
Destim	Yes	1,199.97
smalltimezzz	Yes	870.1
runes-leo	Yes	300
jibraatka	Yes	220
jooker2026	Yes	199.99
neverhackme	Yes	190
oboltusovao	Yes	137.5
1111	Yes	120
akhk1245	Yes	120
Bitgod	Yes	99.99
WanderingPanda	Yes	52.06
Etherapp	Yes	41.18
bentii	Yes	31.25
H38-EXP-02	Yes	30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:01:21	SELL	No	0.84	197	$165.64
07:07:08	BUY	No	0.85	10	$8.55
04:22:59	BUY	Yes	0.16	6	$1.00
01:23:39	BUY	No	0.8499999983	59	$50.00
23:39:35	BUY	Yes	0.16	31	$5.00
22:59:08	SELL	No	0.84	7	$5.88
22:56:45	BUY	Yes	0.16	6	$1.01
22:49:30	BUY	No	0.84	31	$26.05
21:58:06	BUY	No	0.84	5	$4.20
21:45:08	BUY	Yes	0.17	25	$4.25
21:45:08	SELL	No	0.83	8	$6.64
21:18:47	SELL	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00
18:46:15	BUY	Yes	0.1699999422	12	$2.00
18:32:12	SELL	Yes	0.16	50	$8.00
18:01:47	BUY	No	0.84	5	$4.41
15:59:18	SELL	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20
09:08:05	SELL	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20
23:19:21	SELL	No	0.83	6	$4.98
21:48:02	BUY	Yes	0.1699999823	41	$7.00
21:26:29	BUY	Yes	0.17	327	$55.59
21:26:29	BUY	No	0.83359477	98	$81.99
21:26:18	SELL	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00
20:56:50	SELL	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00
20:46:02	SELL	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00
20:44:38	SELL	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00