PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-04
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.029 over the period, from 0.031. Range 0.003 to 0.488. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006212212
0.007543755
0.008205960
0.0091,5742,535
0.0104723,007
0.014953,102
0.0153003,402
0.0202,3345,736
0.0243906,126
0.0251006,226
0.0285006,726
0.0301006,826

Spread0.002Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0046868
0.0031,0351,103
0.00227,08628,189
0.00115,00143,190

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9966868
0.9971,0351,103
0.99827,08628,189
0.99915,00143,190

Spread0.002Mid0.995

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994212212
0.993543755
0.992205960
0.9911,5742,535
0.9904723,007
0.986953,102
0.9853003,402
0.9802,3345,736
0.9763906,126
0.9751006,226
0.9725006,726
0.9701006,826

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alohaaYes30,000
Bobi-BeebsYes11,044.18
Kaiji123Yes6,951.79
Romeo005Yes6,557.04
smalltimezzzYes6,430.25
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
LinaBell🦊Yes5,000
hetaczYes4,200.04
0x146fb4c5Yes3,999.62
PrexpectYes3,879.06
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801Yes3,099.1
SugarinaYes3,000
txp111.Yes3,000
387411007415611814092217897387Yes2,974.11
RickRockRickYes2,897.74
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203Yes2,811
BitgodYes2,648.86
7kent777Yes2,500.36
happy001Yes2,500.01
LuckyMANNNYes2,100.37

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:03:33SELLNo0.996526515232$31.57
03:03:33SELLNo0.9973$3.31
02:57:03BUYNo0.99812$12.00
02:41:03BUYYes0.0047505938421$2.00
02:27:30SELLNo0.997249$248.59
02:17:39BUYYes0.003421$1.26
01:55:21BUYNo0.9988$8.38
01:55:15BUYNo0.9988$8.38
01:55:08BUYNo0.9988$8.38
01:55:03BUYNo0.9988$8.38
01:54:53BUYNo0.9988$8.38
01:54:38BUYNo0.9988$8.38
01:35:09SELLYes0.0022,506$5.01
01:29:00SELLYes0.00220$0.04
00:56:08BUYYes0.0029999971347$1.04
00:56:08SELLYes0.00370$0.21
00:41:14SELLYes0.0032,135$6.41
00:37:08SELLYes0.004235$0.94
00:36:59BUYNo0.996200$199.20
00:33:12SELLYes0.005271$1.36
00:27:20BUYNo0.99529$28.40
00:27:20BUYNo0.99436$35.47
23:58:42BUYNo0.9941,256$1248.38
23:44:44SELLYes0.00610$0.06
23:44:44SELLYes0.00610$0.06