BleatingWeasel
0xb2646a7dce9a70a3ae0e89f7fbf6849ca0caeb03
- Realised P&L
- $-902.96
- Volume
- $73.9k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $339.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.93at 0.098Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$134.65at 0.071Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$100.84at 0.092Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$56.41at 0.154Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$48.57at 0.174Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 08:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 08:22 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 08:20 | Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0380326595 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 08:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 13:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 07:04 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0079040449 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 07:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0146902847 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 06:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 06:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 06:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.0069999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 06:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.0119530881 | $15.00 |
| 08-18 04:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 04:55 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0475223058 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 04:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 04:54 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0087497552 | $5.00 |