PolyBot

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Traders

0xB2539c6E857372D90BC648B59498Cb6e5eC42D38-1763200511015

0xb2539c6e857372d90bc648b59498cb6e5ec42d38

Realised P&L
$90.94
Volume
$33.4k
Markets traded
438
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded438
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8360.935$614.21+$65.21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6350.860$599.47+$156.47
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No0.8060.800$168.65$1.35
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7830.845$148.88+$10.88
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? · No0.6870.720$139.36+$6.36
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9080.971$110.16+$7.16
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.9100.968$107.37+$6.37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.8950.935$104.47+$4.47
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.8970.945$81.13+$4.13
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · No0.7910.795$80.37+$0.37
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9180.945$73.08+$2.08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7760.835$60.25+$4.25
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · No0.6520.895$56.30+$15.30
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026? · No0.7450.575$42.47$12.53
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.7450.959$34.75+$7.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 12:36Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
09-07 07:20Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.85$30.38
08-10 10:35Nothing Ever Happens: AugustBUY0.8899999996$20.00
08-10 10:34Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
08-10 10:33US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.7199999981$30.00
08-10 10:31Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.8126858257$30.00
08-10 10:29US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.7899999739$20.00
08-10 10:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.8999999892$50.00
07-31 18:43Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?SELL0.892$107.38
07-30 13:46Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?BUY0.7899999795$30.00
07-30 13:44Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.3399999815$11.00
07-30 13:44Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.9$10.00
07-30 13:38Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.549999956$5.00
07-30 13:36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.75$10.00
07-30 13:34Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.7363183929$10.00