0xB2539c6E857372D90BC648B59498Cb6e5eC42D38-1763200511015
0xb2539c6e857372d90bc648b59498cb6e5ec42d38
- Realised P&L
- $90.94
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.12at 0.555Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
- +$59.68at 0.336Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
- +$47.68at 0.539US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
- +$20.62at 0.631Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$20.52at 0.846Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 12:36 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 07:20 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $30.38 |
| 08-10 10:35 | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 08-10 10:34 | Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 10:33 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $30.00 |
| 08-10 10:31 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.8126858257 | $30.00 |
| 08-10 10:29 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.7899999739 | $20.00 |
| 08-10 10:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.8999999892 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 18:43 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.892 | $107.38 |
| 07-30 13:46 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899999795 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 13:44 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999815 | $11.00 |
| 07-30 13:44 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 13:38 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 13:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 13:34 | Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.7363183929 | $10.00 |