teamflywheel
0xafe203aea61b2df4ff3b6c759f4c0da491aab686
- Realised P&L
- $-11.3k
- Volume
- $67.6k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $371.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.65at 0.618US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$168.06at 0.578Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$141.44at 0.404Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
- +$129.59at 0.675US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$128.48at 0.692Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 10:30 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $49.83 |
| 10-22 01:18 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $21.75 |
| 10-22 01:18 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $75.65 |
| 10-06 13:43 | Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? | SELL | 0.89 | $10.32 |
| 10-06 13:43 | Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 10-06 13:42 | Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | SELL | 0.86 | $30.96 |
| 10-06 12:26 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $59.52 |
| 10-06 11:53 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $66.12 |
| 10-06 11:50 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $28.77 |
| 10-06 11:47 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | SELL | 0.9345232495 | $51.65 |
| 09-26 10:49 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $86.80 |
| 09-26 10:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.9332646223 | $220.04 |
| 09-26 10:48 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.0k |
| 09-18 04:07 | Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $24.26 |
| 09-18 04:07 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $56.25 |