PolyBot

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Traders

teamflywheel

0xafe203aea61b2df4ff3b6c759f4c0da491aab686

Realised P&L
$-11.3k
Volume
$67.6k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$371.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4320.275$95.45−$54.38
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · No0.3480.299$65.14−$10.60
Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No0.7500.575$50.60−$15.40
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.7330.895$50.54+$9.16
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · No0.7700.845$31.34+$2.78
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? · No0.7060.870$28.21+$5.33
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · No0.7640.305$22.27−$33.54
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1150.006$22.20−$371.07
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · No0.6200.555$4.47−$0.52
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? · No0.7800.870$1.74+$0.18
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? · No0.7120.000$0.00−$39.34
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17) · Yes0.5020.000$0.00−$4.83
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$24.68
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00−$115.33
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? · No0.6030.000$0.00−$109.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 10:30Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.33$49.83
10-22 01:18Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.87$21.75
10-22 01:18Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?SELL0.89$75.65
10-06 13:43Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?SELL0.89$10.32
10-06 13:43Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?SELL0.88$35.20
10-06 13:42Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?SELL0.86$30.96
10-06 12:26Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.7$59.52
10-06 11:53Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?SELL0.87$66.12
10-06 11:50 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.87$28.77
10-06 11:47Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?SELL0.9345232495$51.65
09-26 10:49UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?SELL0.92$86.80
09-26 10:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.9332646223$220.04
09-26 10:48US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.83$1.0k
09-18 04:07Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?SELL0.95$24.26
09-18 04:07Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?SELL0.95$56.25