Kaamelott
0xae70996aeefbcb7e0abcbd984aec73799e746c35
- Realised P&L
- $-27.51
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $18.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.05at 0.276Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.00at 0.300Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$6.40at 0.360Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?
- +$6.20at 0.380Patriots vs. Seahawks
- +$5.94at 0.265Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 17:46 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 17:16 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 07-14 03:48 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 03:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 03:32 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.21 |
| 07-07 23:17 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.327 | $1.91 |
| 07-05 02:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $7.25 |
| 07-05 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 01:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 01:56 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.193 | $0.97 |
| 07-01 23:38 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 20:23 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 06-30 21:55 | France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 06-28 04:03 | Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.16 |