PolyBot

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Traders

ka7ak

0xad5c1ab0f47b36c1b0cc883cc6b987fb4aa33268

Realised P&L
$280.47
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 20:36Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$24.70
09-21 19:22NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.33$33.00
09-21 19:11Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$16.00
09-21 19:11Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$6.00
09-21 19:08Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$200.00
09-21 19:06Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$100.00
09-21 19:03NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.18$36.00
09-21 17:05Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$55.00
09-21 16:54Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.11$24.20
09-21 11:49Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$16.80
09-20 21:05Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?SELL0.991$13.21
09-20 21:01Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?SELL0.002$0.08
09-20 20:58Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.991$15.73
09-20 20:58Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.979$25.13
09-20 20:56Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.9714342424$320.57