0xA97b11A27B96FD94B6E463Bb41aa8f07f29F8E8F-1768397227226
0xa97b11a27b96fd94b6e463bb41aa8f07f29f8e8f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.38
- Volume
- $705.50
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $67.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.92at 0.901Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.830Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$1.00at 0.833US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$0.97at 0.925Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
- +$0.80at 0.790Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 16:18 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 16:17 | Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 16:16 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.9909999368 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 16:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599998771 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 22:26 | Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? | BUY | 0.9459999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:22 | Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:24 | Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 09:14 | Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 09:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.9729999937 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 22:08 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 22:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 22:06 | Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 18:58 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.978999441 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 18:57 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |