PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA97b11A27B96FD94B6E463Bb41aa8f07f29F8E8F-1768397227226

0xa97b11a27b96fd94b6e463bb41aa8f07f29f8e8f

Realised P&L
$-2.38
Volume
$705.50
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$67.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9320.945$18.25+$0.25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8770.978$7.80+$0.80
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.971$5.85+$0.85
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No0.9400.966$5.14+$0.14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8900.895$5.03+$0.03
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.9910.989$4.99−$0.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9600.956$4.98−$0.02
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9100.968$3.93+$0.23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8900.950$3.20+$0.20
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8500.979$1.15+$0.15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.9000.950$1.06+$0.06
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9450.963$1.02+$0.02
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.8800.875$0.99−$0.01
Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.9300.915$0.98−$0.02
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? · No0.9460.923$0.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 16:18Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
10-09 16:17Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-09 16:16Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.9909999368$5.00
10-09 16:15Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.9599998771$5.00
10-06 22:26Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? BUY0.9459999962$1.00
10-06 22:22Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-20 21:24Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
09-20 21:21Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8899999858$5.00
09-02 09:14Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
09-02 09:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.9729999937$2.00
08-08 22:08Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$2.00
08-08 22:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
08-08 22:06Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?BUY0.84$1.00
07-22 18:58Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.978999441$1.00
07-22 18:57Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.9$1.00