keyer
0xa962aed1a1c74dca6c6fda71f57bce7ed1865860
- Realised P&L
- $-334.42
- Volume
- $55.8k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.85at 0.051Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$42.60at 0.089Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$31.17at 0.296Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
- +$15.50at 0.310Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
- +$14.58at 0.801Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:23 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.75 |
| 08-28 14:11 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.18 |
| 08-27 23:59 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $14.40 |
| 08-27 23:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $9.60 |
| 08-27 16:56 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 08-27 16:52 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.79 |
| 08-27 13:13 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $8.39 |
| 08-17 14:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.66 |
| 08-14 18:38 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-14 18:38 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.041 | $1.64 |
| 08-13 00:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.12 | $19.25 |
| 08-13 00:28 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.11 | $29.06 |
| 08-12 12:51 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 00:35 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.11 | $157.70 |
| 08-11 00:34 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1 | $179.06 |