PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

keyer

0xa962aed1a1c74dca6c6fda71f57bce7ed1865860

Realised P&L
$-334.42
Volume
$55.8k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0900.095$1.9k+$106.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.2900.380$167.88+$39.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1180.045$47.31$76.69
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.0710.028$24.55$37.77
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0430.033$21.56$6.79
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0240.004$2.40$12.00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1050.018$2.22$10.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0900.015$1.67$8.33
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2500.115$0.46$0.54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0770.011$0.14$0.86
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0560.006$0.12$0.88
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.10
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.3170.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 07:23Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$3.75
08-28 14:11Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.06$3.18
08-27 23:59Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.024$14.40
08-27 23:57Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$9.60
08-27 16:56Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.08$8.00
08-27 16:52Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.08$3.79
08-27 13:13Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.07$8.39
08-17 14:40Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.12$13.66
08-14 18:38Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.11$1.10
08-14 18:38Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.041$1.64
08-13 00:28Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.12$19.25
08-13 00:28Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.11$29.06
08-12 12:51Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.1$1.00
08-11 00:35Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.11$157.70
08-11 00:34Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.1$179.06