undertaker07
0xa7a3d4efc03aab43fc0b05d906ae98d9aed67739
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $260.6k
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$766.76at 0.466Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$721.47at 0.755US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$560.00at 0.633US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$540.50at 0.330Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-28 13:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.049 | $10.88 |
| 10-27 16:34 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $5.95 |
| 10-26 14:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.348 | $11.34 |
| 10-23 17:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-23 12:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.71 | $106.50 |
| 10-22 21:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 13:53 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $20.13 |
| 10-21 13:22 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $14.70 |
| 10-19 12:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $10.95 |
| 10-19 00:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 10-16 13:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 10-16 12:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 10-16 12:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $56.00 |
| 10-15 17:09 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |