PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Ilansc

0xa63285f85547e25e30d7c6c19dc70fd24b5c7cdd

Realised P&L
$18.93
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$319.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? · No0.8800.905$113.13+$3.13
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7580.770$101.56+$1.56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · No0.8360.910$16.33+$1.33
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? · Down0.9540.725$15.20$4.80
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges · Nuno Borges0.6801.000$14.71+$4.71
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.1900.120$12.63$7.37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.2670.280$10.47+$0.47
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? · No0.8960.892$9.96$0.04
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.5400.520$9.63$0.37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.390$9.51$0.49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.7000.865$6.18+$1.18
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Katie Volynets · Katie Volynets0.3530.000$0.00$30.00
Los Cabos Open: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Gea · Soon-Woo Kwon0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton · Ben Shelton0.8300.000$0.00$10.00
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula0.8100.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:54Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.88$110.00
08-03 02:58Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaBUY0.8099999931$20.00
08-02 14:50National Bank Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ariana ArseneaultBUY0.8799999789$20.00
08-02 14:50Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno BorgesBUY0.6799999946$10.00
08-02 14:48Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura SamsonBUY0.8199999988$40.00
08-02 05:01US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.7581963969$100.00
08-02 04:54Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
08-02 03:09Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloBUY0.9499999981$100.00
08-02 03:08Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.5499999807$10.00
08-02 03:06Vancouver: J.J. Wolf vs Mark LajalBUY0.5599999776$10.00
08-01 02:42Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonBUY0.8299999967$10.00
08-01 02:41Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.409999991$10.00
08-01 02:39Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.267326716$10.00
08-01 02:31Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?BUY0.895999995$10.00
08-01 02:28The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Katie VolynetsBUY0.3599999921$20.00