0xA60FE9ddA6E940Af2422b755fB8AC8E315A270f0-1723214234314
0xa60fe9dda6e940af2422b755fb8ac8e315a270f0
- Realised P&L
- $-399.07
- Volume
- $229.4k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $16.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.867Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$442.91at 0.810US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$247.85at 0.950Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
- +$224.64at 0.690Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$210.53at 0.950Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 03:49 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.6669858906 | $200.00 |
| 10-30 03:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.0k |
| 10-30 03:37 | Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.1236671299 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 03:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $1000.00 |
| 10-04 03:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $1000.00 |
| 10-04 03:04 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $1000.00 |
| 10-04 03:02 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $130.13 |
| 09-17 04:44 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 04:41 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $82.45 |
| 09-17 04:40 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.924 | $167.69 |
| 09-17 04:38 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.954 | $1.1k |
| 08-20 00:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 00:42 | Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999946 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 00:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-20 00:40 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0379999993 | $50.00 |