PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA60FE9ddA6E940Af2422b755fB8AC8E315A270f0-1723214234314

0xa60fe9dda6e940af2422b755fb8ac8e315a270f0

Realised P&L
$28.72
Volume
$225.4k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$11.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9190.920$4.5k+$2.88
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8800.885$2.5k+$14.21
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8300.935$1.1k+$126.51
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9090.976$1.1k+$72.76
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9000.945$525.00+$25.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8790.972$221.05+$21.05
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8700.945$217.24+$17.24
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.185$185.00+$85.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1100.182$165.91+$65.91
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.6600.905$137.12+$37.12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7300.935$128.08+$28.08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7800.920$118.01+$18.01
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0340.035$104.41+$4.41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8300.865$104.22+$4.22
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.905$101.69+$1.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:44Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.2$100.00
09-17 04:41Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.47$82.45
09-17 04:40Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.924$167.69
09-17 04:38Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.954$1.1k
08-20 00:45Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
08-20 00:42Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8899999946$100.00
08-20 00:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
08-20 00:40Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0379999993$50.00
08-20 00:38Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.88$2.5k
08-20 00:36Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9270841719$2.5k
07-31 16:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5599999993$100.00
07-31 02:47Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.91$2.0k
07-31 02:43Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.9585000172$4.2k
07-31 02:41Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.959$4.4k
07-31 02:40Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.959957123$3.0k