Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-05
Rewards: 60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.14 to 0.27. 22 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	140	140
0.25	110	250
0.26	377	627
0.29	50	677
0.30	60	737
0.31	30	767
0.32	20	787
0.36	100	887
0.37	35	922
0.39	36	958
0.47	70	1,028
0.56	400	1,428

Spread0.15Mid0.16

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	37	37
0.08	50	87
0.06	2,222	2,309
0.04	1,015	3,324
0.02	5	3,329
0.01	36	3,365

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	37	37
0.92	50	87
0.94	2,222	2,309
0.96	1,015	3,324
0.98	5	3,329
0.99	36	3,365

Spread0.15Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	140	140
0.75	110	250
0.74	377	627
0.71	50	677
0.70	60	737
0.69	30	767
0.68	20	787
0.64	100	887
0.63	35	922
0.61	36	958
0.53	70	1,028
0.44	400	1,428

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
vovomafalda	Yes	13.44
Scaface171	Yes	8.33
JamesCode	No	13.44
0xa5ef…2966	No	8.32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:49:54	BUY	Yes	0.2399999808	8	$2.00
19:09:36	BUY	Yes	0.5	13	$6.72

Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50%… · PolyBot Pro