0xa286f7f4dc6af4f78dadaedab57bda715910ea95
0xa286f7f4dc6af4f78dadaedab57bda715910ea95
- Realised P&L
- $-117.79
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $91.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.86at 0.600Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.66at 0.291Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?
- +$12.12at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$11.48at 0.311Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
- +$10.40at 0.334Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 13:00 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4851484889 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 13:36 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 13:36 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:23 | Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 16:23 | Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:22 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 16:21 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 16:21 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 19:26 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 16:20 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:20 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.49 |
| 10-03 16:19 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.70 |
| 10-02 16:15 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.89 |
| 10-02 01:50 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |