PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

oshu2

0xa166eac815f32d1e5aca0fdb1f2e1f15968adb13

Realised P&L
$-20.97
Volume
$48.8k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$31.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 04:24Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-25 04:23US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
09-25 04:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.9199999816$2.00
09-25 04:23Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-25 04:23Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.8689999896$1.00
09-25 04:22Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$12.26
09-25 04:22Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$3.00
09-25 04:22Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$3.00
08-30 08:44Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999877$3.00
08-30 08:44Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$3.00
08-30 08:44Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
08-30 08:44Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9569998731$5.00
08-30 08:43Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.9499998219$4.00
08-30 08:43Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.7289998622$1.00
08-30 08:43Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$3.20