oshu2
0xa166eac815f32d1e5aca0fdb1f2e1f15968adb13
- Realised P&L
- $-20.97
- Volume
- $48.8k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $31.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.93at 0.615Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$1.20at 0.580Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.79at 0.560Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$0.74at 0.730US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
- +$0.52at 0.971Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:23 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 04:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:23 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $12.26 |
| 09-25 04:22 | Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 04:22 | Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:44 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:44 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:44 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:44 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9569998731 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 08:43 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9499998219 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 08:43 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.7289998622 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:43 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.20 |